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When Europe went to war: five steps to catastrophe

‘No part of the Great War compares in interest with its opening,’ wrote Winston Churchill of the world changing events that took place 110 years ago this summer, as Europe’s ‘Great Powers’ found themselves sliding inexorably towards a new type of conflict. ‘The measured, silent drawing together of gigantic forces, the uncertainty of their movements and positions, the number of unknown and unknowable facts made the first collision a drama never surpassed.’

More than a century on, interest in this extraordinary drama shows few signs of fading — as new generations ask themselves, how could Europe’s leaders have allowed such a thing to happen? How could a continent that had for so long prided itself on its so-called ‘civilisation’ sleepwalk into a conflagration that would claim the lives of between 15 and 22 million soldiers and civilians over the following four years?

Such interest is not purely historical, of course. For inside this complex tale of imperial rivalries and short-sighted diplomatic blundering, many are tempted to discern a parable with enduring relevance to the world we live in today. That is why the US President John F Kennedy famously found inspiration at the height of the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis in The Guns of August, Barbara Tuchman’s celebrated account of the outbreak of World War I (see MHM 133, April/May 2023). And it is why the events of that far-off summer of 1914 are still referred to even today by those who warn of the dangers of escalating conflicts around the world, from Ukraine to the Middle East.

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